The global outlook for medicine use and spending affects the prospects of life sciences companies, insurers and the health of populations around the world.
This report includes the latest predictions for the global pharmaceutical market along with geographic, therapy area and channel perspectives. It assesses the impact of new drug launches, biosimilars, and growth in the use of specialty medicines.
The report also highlights ten areas to watch over the next several years that impact the use of and cost of medicines including: prescription digital health tools, artificial intelligence and machine learning, Next-Generation Biotherapeutics and use of real-world evidence in clinical development.
The global pharmaceutical market will exceed $1.5 trillion by 2023 growing at a 3−6% compound annual growth rate over the next five years. The key drivers of growth will continue to be the United States and pharmerging markets with 4−7% and 5–8% compound annual growth, respectively. In the United States, overall spending growth is driven by a range of factors including new product uptake and brand pricing, while it is offset by patent expiries and generics. Medicine spending in Japan totaled $86 billion in 2018, however spending on medicines is expected to decline by -3 to 0% through 2023, largely because of exchange rates and the continued uptake of generics.
In Europe, cost-containment measures and less growth from new products contribute to slower growth of 1−4%, compared to the 4.7% compound annual growth seen over the past five years. Pharmaceutical spending in China reached $137 billion in 2018 and is expected to reach $140−170 billion by 2023, but its growth is likely to slow to 3−6%.